sorry for the delay on this an the infreqency of posts, midterm season is always a busy one!!!!
we have another low with rain and thunder chances increasing again for Sunday
– period of rain in the morning with thunder, this from the squall line trying to form in Arkansas
– after this passes the low heads into ohio in the afternoon we may see a few peeks of sun ahead of the cold front which may allow for a thunderstorm or two to form ahead of the front. the spc has a see text, right now I’m not to concerned but a strong storm can’t be ruled out. dewpoints are just to low and the window for the atmosphere to become unstable isn’t that big.
AS THE PARENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH/SURFACE LOW MOVEMENT LARGELY
PARALLELS THE OH RIVER….ONLY LIMITED BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
/SURFACE DEWPOINTS GENERALLY UPPER 40S TO PERHAPS LOWER 50S F/ WILL
EXIST IN THE PRE-COLD FRONT/OCCLUSION WARM SECTOR. HOWEVER…AMPLE
VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODEST SURFACE HEATING COUPLED WITH STEEP LAPSE
RATES ALOFT COULD SUPPORT SOME STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS CAPABLE OF
HAIL/GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO…MAINLY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE POSSIBILITY/DEGREE OF EARLY DAY CLOUD
COVER/SHOWERY PRECIPITATION…AFOREMENTIONED LIMITED MOISTURE/WEAK
BUOYANCY PRECLUDES A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK AT THIS TIME.
radar to track the squall line tonight
highs tommorow should be in the 50’s to low 60’s ahead of the cold front with some westerly and southerly flow then fall as the front moves through late in the day.