Breaking: widespread flooding and some severe weather today (updated)

UPDATED: NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH TILL 8

BULLETIN – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
     SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 657
     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
     120 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009
    
     SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 657 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
     FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
    
     INC147-163-173-050000-
     /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0657.090804T1720Z-090805T0000Z/
    
     IN
     .    INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
     SPENCER              VANDERBURGH         WARRICK            
    
    
     KYC001-003-005-009-013-017-021-027-029-031-045-049-051-053-057-
     059-061-065-067-073-079-085-087-091-093-097-099-101-109-113-121-
     123-125-129-137-141-147-149-151-155-163-167-169-171-173-177-179-
     181-183-189-197-199-203-207-209-211-213-215-217-227-229-231-235-
     239-050000-
     /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0657.090804T1720Z-090805T0000Z/
    
     KY
     .    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
    
     ADAIR                ALLEN               ANDERSON           
     BARREN               BELL                BOURBON            
     BOYLE                BRECKINRIDGE        BULLITT            
     BUTLER               CASEY               CLARK              
     CLAY                 CLINTON             CUMBERLAND         
     DAVIESS              EDMONSON            ESTILL             
     FAYETTE              FRANKLIN            GARRARD            
     GRAYSON              GREEN               HANCOCK            
     HARDIN               HARRISON            HART               
     HENDERSON            JACKSON             JESSAMINE          
     KNOX                 LARUE               LAUREL             
     LEE                  LINCOLN             LOGAN              
     MADISON              MARION              MCCREARY           
     MCLEAN               MEADE               MERCER             
     METCALFE             MONROE              MONTGOMERY         
     MUHLENBERG           NELSON              NICHOLAS           
     OHIO                 OWSLEY              POWELL             
     PULASKI              ROCKCASTLE          RUSSELL            
     SCOTT                SHELBY              SIMPSON            
     SPENCER              TAYLOR              WARREN             
     WASHINGTON           WAYNE               WHITLEY            
     WOODFORD            
    
    
     ATTN…WFO…PAH…LMK…JKL…
     http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0657.html

 

flooding is in progress across the lousiville metro area NOW  here is wave 3 coverage of that. i will have more as the afternoon goes on.

http://wave3.typepad.com/belskis_blog/

 

other flood warnings are also in effect

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1157 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009

KYC165-197-237-041900-
/O.CON.KJKL.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-090804T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MENIFEE KY-POWELL KY-WOLFE KY-
1157 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009

…A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT FOR
WESTERN WOLFE…POWELL…AND SOUTHWESTERN MENIFEE COUNTIES…

AT 1150 AM…THE EMERGENCY MANAGER OF POWELL COUNTY REPORTED FLOODED
BUILDINGS IN STANTON AND THAT EVACUATIONS HAVE TAKEN PLACE. AT
1146 AM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN CONTINUING OVER THE WARNING AREA…WITH THE
HEAVIEST RAIN HAVING MOVED FURTHER SOUTH. EVEN THOUGH THE RAINFALL
INTENSITY HAS EASED…ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY SERVE TO
PROLONG ONGOING FLOODING.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SPOUT
SPRINGS…WESTBEND…WALTERSVILLE…VIRDEN…ROSSLYN…POWELL
VALLEY…HAYSTACK…CAT CREEK…BOWEN…STANTON AND CLAY CITY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

TO REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE…CALL TOLL
FREE AT…1…8 7 7…6 3 3…6 7 7 2…WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1057 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009

…FLOODING RAINS POSSIBLE THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY…

.A SERIES OF THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA
THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY AS THEY PASS THROUGH THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY…TO AT TIMES TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS…MAKING CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLASH FLOODING.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-042300-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FF.A.0011.090804T1457Z-090805T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…FLEMINGSBURG…MOUNT STERLING…
OWINGSVILLE…MOREHEAD…IRVINE…STANTON…FRENCHBURG…
MOUNT VERNON…MCKEE…SOMERSET…LONDON…MONTICELLO…
WHITLEY CITY…CORBIN…WILLIAMSBURG…BARBOURVILLE…
MIDDLESBORO…PINEVILLE…HARLAN…SANDY HOOK…WEST LIBERTY…
PAINTSVILLE…CAMPTON…SALYERSVILLE…PRESTONSBURG…
BEATTYVILLE…JACKSON…HINDMAN…BOONEVILLE…HAZARD…
MANCHESTER…HYDEN…WHITESBURG…INEZ…PIKEVILLE
1057 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
  NORTHEAST KENTUCKY…SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
  KENTUCKY…INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS…IN EAST CENTRAL
  KENTUCKY…BATH…ELLIOTT…ESTILL…FLEMING…MENIFEE…
  MONTGOMERY…POWELL AND ROWAN. IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY…JOHNSON
  AND MARTIN. IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY…LAUREL…MCCREARY…
  PULASKI…ROCKCASTLE…WAYNE AND WHITLEY. IN SOUTHEAST
  KENTUCKY…BELL…BREATHITT…CLAY…FLOYD…HARLAN…
  JACKSON…KNOTT…KNOX…LEE…LESLIE…LETCHER…MAGOFFIN…
  MORGAN…OWSLEY…PERRY…PIKE AND WOLFE.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

* SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCASIONALLY OVERSPREAD
  THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF TWO
  INCHES PER HOUR…OR GREATER WILL BE POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL
  BE A THREAT WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OCCURS…ESPECIALLY WHERE
  THUNDERSTORMS PASS REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME LOCATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1111 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ060>063-070>073-
077>082-088-050315-
/O.NEW.KILN.FF.A.0003.090804T1511Z-090805T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-
FAYETTE OH-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…RICHMOND…CONNERSVILLE…LIBERTY…
BROOKVILLE…VERSAILLES…LAWRENCEBURG…RISING SUN…VEVAY…
CARROLLTON…WARSAW…BURLINGTON…INDEPENDENCE…ALEXANDRIA…
OWENTON…WILLIAMSTOWN…FALMOUTH…BROOKSVILLE…MOUNT OLIVET…
MAYSVILLE…VANCEBURG…EATON…DAYTON…XENIA…
WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE…HAMILTON…LEBANON…WILMINGTON…
CHILLICOTHE…CINCINNATI…MILFORD…GEORGETOWN…HILLSBORO…
WEST UNION…PIKETON…PORTSMOUTH
1111 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF INDIANA…KENTUCKY AND
OHIO…INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS…IN INDIANA…DEARBORN…
FAYETTE IN…FRANKLIN IN…OHIO…RIPLEY…SWITZERLAND…UNION
IN AND WAYNE. IN KENTUCKY…BOONE…BRACKEN…CAMPBELL…
CARROLL…GALLATIN…GRANT…KENTON…LEWIS…MASON…OWEN…
PENDLETON AND ROBERTSON. IN OHIO…ADAMS…BROWN…BUTLER…
CLERMONT…CLINTON…FAYETTE OH…GREENE…HAMILTON…
HIGHLAND…MONTGOMERY…PIKE…PREBLE…ROSS…SCIOTO AND
WARREN.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL COMBINED WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL
  FROM THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT WILL BRING THE
  POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
  THUNDERSTORMS MAY TRAIN ACROSS THE SAME AREAS…PRODUCING
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS
AND OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD KEEP AN EYE ON THE WEATHER AND BE
PREPARED FOR IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING
OCCUR OR A FLASH FLOOD WARNING BE ISSUED

 

louisville nws should have put out a watch as well, don’t agree with there hesitation today. some of the blame in there direction from others is to much though.

there is a severe threat for stronger storms in this complex to have hail and severe winds

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 656
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
945 AM EDT TUE AUG 4 2009

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 656 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KYC041-077-103-111-185-187-223-042000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0656.090804T1345Z-090804T2000Z/

KY
.    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARROLL              GALLATIN            HENRY
JEFFERSON            OLDHAM              OWEN
TRIMBLE
$$

ATTN…WFO…IND…LMK…ILN…

a watch may be issued for more of us

spc

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1772
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1141 AM CDT TUE AUG 04 2009
  
   AREAS AFFECTED…CNTRL/SRN IND…SW OH…KY
  
   CONCERNING…SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 656…
  
   VALID 041641Z – 041815Z
  
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 656
   CONTINUES.
  
   DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL MAY AT LEAST TEMPORARILY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE
   WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO…BUT POTENTIAL FOR RENEWED CONVECTIVE
   DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA INTO WESTERN/
   CENTRAL KENTUCKY EXISTS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  HEAVY RAINFALL/
   FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND SOME HAIL WILL CONTINUE IN
   ONGOING CONVECTION.  TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN ADDITIONAL WW
   SOUTH OF WW 656.
  
   VIGOROUS STORM DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE LEADING EDGE OF THE STRONGEST
   PORTION OF THE SURFACE COLD POOL PROBABLY WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN
   SHORTLY…AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN ENVIRONMENT STABILIZED BY PRIOR
   CONVECTION EAST OF THE INDIANAPOLIS AREA.  HOWEVER…RECENT NEW
   STORMS ALONG GUST FRONT SOUTHWEST OF BLOOMINGTON INTO AREAS NEAR/
   WEST OF EVANSVILLE…COUPLED WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WITHIN
   STRONGER LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ON THE NOSE OF ELEVATED MIXED
   LAYER AIR EMANATING FROM THE PLAINS…COULD CONTRIBUTE TO A GROWING
   CONVECTIVE CLUSTER NEAR/SOUTH AND WEST OF LOUISVILLE BETWEEN NOW AND
   18-19Z.  INHIBITION CONTINUES TO DECREASE WITH SURFACE HEATING
   ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY…WHERE THE VERY MOIST
   BOUNDARY LAYER IS CHARACTERIZED BY CAPE OF 1500-3000 J/KG.  AND…
   FORCING/SHEAR MAY BEGIN TO INCREASE ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEXT LOW
   AMPLITUDE IMPULSE ON THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF STRONGER CYCLONIC MID/
   UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
  
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1772.html

 update for the afternoon more of my thinking

– line of severe storms should slowly sag se and move through ky in addtion to severe storms with wind and hail widespread flooding should be likely especiallly east of 1-75 line should form further south into western ky as well areas near lexington may get hit twice more by this complex

– heating of the day further to the west should keep this complex going

– expect the highest chance for severe west of lex, widespread flooding again today is main concern

– more updates in comments section

 

sorry for the late update but i was out when the storms blew up this morning i’m home for the rest of the day.