Weekend forecast and top 10 list

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First, it is getting closer to the time I say  goodbye Kentucky and head off as a full-time meteorologist at a TBD NWS office. One of my final posts will be a top 10 list of weather events that occurred from march of 2008 to present day. Please place your votes in the comments section. regular updates of at least twice a week will continue in the meantime minus memorial day weekend ( out-of-town).

1.  Friday will be a great day! Fair skies and highs from 70-75 after morning lows in the upper 40’s.

2. Saturday a low pressure system will develop along the gulf coast advecting clouds and moisture northward into the region. As a result, nighttime lows will be warmer around 50 with highs in the mid to upper 70’s. A little warmer due to return flow. I can’t rule out a shower or two for the south based on the timing with some of the modeling.

3. Sunday The low pressure system will continue to track along the gulf coast This will result in widespread showers and rumbles of thunder mainly across the south. There is quite a difference in model QPF. However several of the GFS ensemble members are wetter than the operational. I also feel that the ECMWF is to aggressive with QPF. I’m thinking a 1/3-2/3 inch of rainfall for Sunday. Lows will be around 60 with highs only around 70 due to clouds and rain.

4. Next week this system may be a slow-mover which can dent the rainfall deficit. The WKU field methods course out in the plains also starts next week, I’ll update on that as well. Should be a few active days to start.

5. Already seeing some tropical interest peaked on the GFS around memorial day with a hit to the southeast U.S, a very long ways away and I don’t think it is likely.

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2 Responses to “Weekend forecast and top 10 list”

  1. lipper Says:

    Going to blow not having this blog to visit. Not sure why you can’t keep it unless big brother says you can’t? You have been Far superior in your forecasts VS local (lame Lexington) meteoroligists and TWC, not to mention NOAA .Please give us/me a follow up.

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