Severe threats this week still forecasted

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Just want to update the highlights the forecast is on the last post

1. Rounds of showers and storms are likely Tuesday night and Wednesday. Enough instability may move into the region coupled with a high shear enviroment for a squall line of severe storms Wednesday afternoon with the highest chance southeast.

2. Another squall line thunderstorm event is likely Friday night with a severe threat.

3. I see many forecasts near 60 for highs Monday and sunny skies not so fast folks! The CMC and EC dig a trough in the region. Thickness values fall well below 540 coupled with 850 mb temps from -5 to -10*C. precipitation as well. I think a mix of rain and snow showers with most of us in the upper 30’s to mid  40’s for highs. We’ll see how this plays out for now We’ll do an old fashioned forecasting war.

 

BG day 7 Monday

NWS LMK- 57

Me-47

A tie would 52 for a high.

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