Forecast changes

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– I can’t shake the look of the NAM sounding. It shows BG clearly changing to rain after midnight. EC fastest and most agressive with precip while the NAM is the slowest.
– New GFS has a earlier changeover as well.

My updated thoughts are for an inch or less of snow regionwide. Changeover in BG shortly after midnight working northeast by Tuesday morning.
Area roads may become slick overnight due to snow. Temperatures will rise well above freezing Tuesday.
Keep in mind the ECMWF should not be totally ruled out with 1-2 inches of snow in the BG and Campbelsville regions.

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3 Responses to “Forecast changes”

  1. mitch Says:

    timing of EC bringing precip in sooner looks good. A lot of radar echos east of memphis not reaching ground.

  2. Seth Says:

    wouldn’t be surprised if nky didn’t receive any accumulation from this system, atmosphere is way too dry!

  3. Seth Says:

    And way too warm!

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