Chance for Record still in tact, Cold weekend!

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1. Lexington has not reached 2.1 inches of snow for the winter and is still .3 shy of the mark in 1931-32. The record is for the least snowiest Jul-Jun period.

2. Thursday Winds should go calm early in the day but with falling dewpoints, I’m not that concerned with anything more than patchy fog. Clouds however will be slow to burn off during the day. Another week shortwave will pass to our north as well which may keep more clouds around Thursday. Lows will range from the mid 20’s to low 30’s with highs from the upper 30’s to mid 40’s. Winds should stay light during the day.

3. Our next system moves in Friday this one with strong CAA behind it. clouds increase and light rain should become likely during the day. Highs may reach the low to mid 40’s after lows in the lower 30’s to start. I expect evaporational cooling to lead to slowly falling temps by days end. Light rain should change to snow Friday night in most spots with a dusting or so for some by noon Saturday. Usually I warn about temperature spikes ahead of fronts like this one. However 850 mb temps are rather cool and support evaporational cooling processes winning out.  By Saturday morning temperatures should range from the mid 20’s to 30’s. west winds ahead of the front Friday around 10 mph with a north wind Saturday from 10-15 mph.

4. Strong CAA should keep temps steady Saturday. I don’t think clouds clear out and with a northerly flow I expect some lake moisture to get into the mix with flurries across most of the region.

5. Maybe a snowmap depending on how this set-up evolves the next few days.

6. my undercutting system Monday night looks week but may provide another chance for light rain or snow.

7. mid-week will cut to our northwest, another soaker but watch for secondary development by next weekend that would track farther southeast.

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3 Responses to “Chance for Record still in tact, Cold weekend!”

  1. mitch Says:

    The 00z NAM sounding at Lexington is all snow Friday. model has evaporational cooling processes winning out. That will be a trend to watch. This backs up Seth’s earlier feedback.

  2. mitch Says:

    same for the 00z GFS at Lexington, mix south.

  3. mitch Says:

    modeling pointing to 1-3 inch band of snow for parts of the region, snow map tomorrow!

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