Long term: least snowiest calendar winter ( Jul-Jun) becoming more likely at Lexington

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If we make to June without an addtional inch of snow this year at lexington it will be the least snowiest winter/spring/fall season on record. The new euro weeklies show this to be very likely through the last week of feburary. I look at it and it says the same thing as last week.

– 4 or 5 mild days a few in the 60’s then a few days of normal before the next warm-up. rain and severe storms should be common with tracks well to our north

– doesn’t look like much stratospheric warming now either which helped some in Jan.

– Overall teleconnection pattern doesn’t show any change to winter

– MJO looks very unfavorable the next 2 weeks.

Overall this makes the chances of having a seasonal total of snow by the end of June under 2.1 inches at bluegrass airport more likely,we’re at 1.1 inches now.

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