short term: Nice Friday, Dreary Saturday and Sneaky Sunday

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1. Forecasted Highs have been to cool the past few days and I’ve been going with the warmer NAM/ECMWF guidance in most cases. Guess it’s not enough.

2. no changes for Friday though the south could hit 60. Friday Should see an increase high clouds but remain dry with lows in the middle 30′s and highs in the mid 50′s on avg. winds will be gusty from the southwest at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

3. Clouds should thicken and winds become light from the north by Saturday morning as a front moves through. I also like the chances that patchy fog and areas of light drizzle/rain develop. Temperature spread from the upper 30’s to low 50’s to start Saturday with highs in the 50’s regionwide.

4. The front checks up to our south with low level cold air still coming into the region. At the same time to start next week some week disturbances may track along the boundary Sunday. These could provide the chance for light freezing or sleet in the mornings early next week with rain showers in the afternoon. For now I’m going with mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of light rain for the KY/TN line perhaps mixing with sleet and freezing rain in the morning.  Lows will be from the upper 20’s to low 30’s with highs in the 40’s and 50’s.  This concern with low level cold air and chances for frz rain go into next week’s system as well. Low public impact from any frozen precip.

Update (SAT AM): Going to take out the slight chance for frz rain and lower precip chances to 20% for Sunday.

Update (SAT AM): Thinking a period of mixed precipitation is likely along I-64 Monday morning. will post later tonight.

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