Snow showers east and north Monday night

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1. A strong cold front will push through the region Overnight. With it a surge of Warm air advection will occur causing temperatures to fall into the 38-45 range before rising a few degrees by sunrise. temperatures will fall back into the upper 30’s to mid 40’s by Sunday afternoon with winds from 15-30 mph with gusts to 35-40 mph. A wind advisory has been issued for most locations north of the southern ky pkwy. Also i can’t rule out a passing shower as well. Skies should be mostly cloudy.

2. Monday the flow turns northwesterly behind the front with winds from 20-25 mph and higher gusts. Highs will range from the low to mid 30’s after lows the upper 20’s and low 30’s. The northwesterly flow will promote the transport of some lake moisture into the region and with the high terrain in southeast KY some light snow showers could occur called upslope by Monday night. A vort max coming through will enhance the activity a little bit promoting flurries for northern/eastern KY and the Lexington region as well. I’m only expecting very light amounts of QPF with a warm ground. Any accumulation of a few tenths of an inch of snow from any snow showers will be patchy. Perhaps the highest elevations along the VA line see an inch. This is by no means an attack of snow squalls. Still only a 30% chance this gives Lexington the first measurable snow of the season.

3. Will not make a snow map due to the scattered and light nature of this snow chance. Lows Monday night will fall into the teens for many with some low 20’s in the south leading to a concern for slick spots with any light snow showers.

4. Tuesday will be a struggle to 30 for many for highs. Clouds should clear out as the disturbance moves to the east of our region winds will become lighter as well.

5. Feeling confident about Jan Forecast made earlier this week for above normal temps after seeing the false MJO signal of a favorable phase for cold go away and the PNA go negative. not good for snow and promotes lakes cutters. I’ll fix the maps in the last post that were not working right.

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3 Responses to “Snow showers east and north Monday night”

  1. mitchg Says:

    images on long range post fixed.

  2. mitchg Says:

    WOW what a surge of WAA coming into KY. EURO nailed it dead on. 41 to 56*F from 7pm to 12 am at BG. Thought it was overdone at the time.

  3. mitchg Says:

    winter weather adv far se ky

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