Quick update to Yesturday’s forecast

by

– A correction on the isentropic analysis for tomorrow’s rain mixing ratios of 3-5 g/kg should yield rainfall of half an inch to perhaps an inch in a few spots southeast.

– Looks like the system this weekend will actually be closer to the GFS map posted yesterday. A flat wave which quickly moves east. The southeast ridge doesn’t look strong enough to allow a further northwest track and any cold air looks more marginal today for the weekend. Highs temperatures will have to be raised and rain chances lowered this weekend. This means now we can say for certain no white christmas. A continued + AO as well allows for the pattern to be more progressive.

– No real signs of a pattern change into Jan. I’ll look at the Euro weeklies tomorrow night and update on my thoughts on that and the stratospheric warming starting up in the pole region.

Advertisements

One Response to “Quick update to Yesturday’s forecast”

  1. mitch Says:

    blog schedule

    Christmas eve- post in morning
    Christmas day- no post

    back to usual this year since weather will be quiet.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


%d bloggers like this: