same stormy pattern

by

1. first let’s recap Tuesday’s forecast yes my critics will quickly point to this awful forecast Tuesday. Put it simple a shortwave provided lift well in advance of the front needed for storm development. other parameters favored storm formation but without lift nothing happens. This shortwave led to the big bust with regards to the forecast for most of the region. Also this forced what i was thought was a unwarranted  postponement of the reds-yanks game Tuesday night as leaving the stadium at 7 seeing postponed and the sun coming out doesn’t make much sense. Over the last few days of more concern is the tendency for storms to produce flooding rains and even some severe storms thanks to the instability and marginal shear in place. Louisville metro was hit hard with these storms Wednesday night. Also localized flooding in eastern Kentucky as hit some communities hard as well. Always look in the comments for watches, warnings and updated thoughts as we saw with the last few days weather situations can evolve rather quickly.

2. Thursday and Friday a low pressure weakens over the lakes with the boundary heading into TN. I’m going to keep an isolated shower or storm in the forecast for the boundary to the south and the far north being closer to the low. Highs will range from the mid to upper 70’s north to the low and mid 80’s south. not expecting any severe weather.

3. This boundary gets bumped northeast due to the heat ridge which is setting up shop for the summer in the southern plains, this will increase storm chances for the weekend with highs in the 80’s.  heavy rains will become a concern again. I suspect many outdoor plans could be in jeopardy.

Advertisements

4 Responses to “same stormy pattern”

  1. mitch Says:

    tornado warning for the city of versailles, not seeing much on radar at this time. be prepared to seek shelter.

  2. Mitch Says:

    still not seeing anything on radar but a tornado warning continues for northeast fayette and northwest clark.

  3. Mitch Says:

    warning extended in burbon county. tornado watch bwg-lex line east for the afternoon.

    thoughts: condtions across southeast KY are becoming favorbale for scattered storms to delevop with moderate shear and instabilty in place a few may become severe with a threat for rotation.

  4. mitch Says:

    storm over rowan, morgan and elliott counties showing rotation seek shelter now!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


%d bloggers like this: