update on monday snow threat

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I have been tracking this for several days now. It’s amazing how yet again the rest of the modeling world is 10 steps behind the ECMWF which pegged this system several days ago, the US models are just now catching up and as a result forecasts are slow to adjust, not here. As for the snow timing didn’t work out if it had come in 6 hours sooner around Monday morning then dynamical and evaporational cooling could very easily have resulted in a period of heavy wet snow around the rush hour with accumulations. In fact from KC to STL .5 qpf could fall with thermal profiles due to these cooling processes favorable for snow. In our region temperatures should be in the 40’s Monday with a cold raw rain which lingers into Tuesday. Perhaps Monday morning some light snow and sleet could mix in for the north still but it’s a small chance.  As for today skies should be far with highs in the 50’s. Monday and Tuesday will feature periods of rain with temps in the 40’s. After this a warm-up begins with 70’s by weeks end. please scroll below for the spring-summer 2011 forecast.

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