rain and winter storm recap


heavy rain has fallen again over the past few days with many locations getting 1-3 which led to some more river flooding. Also this is also a winter storm recap since as suggested for several days on this site the rain changed to snow at the end. I like the fact this site along with pierce who did a great job filling in were the only forecasts calling for measurable snow in the region. Several reports of around 4 inches were recorded in far eastern KY with other regions out east seeing a light accumulation, snow and sleet fell as far west as Frankfort and Richmond. as for my forecast which i left in the comments section, make sure to check those on occasion, the amounts were a little low in the far east but good elsewhere. The forecast left by Pierce for the rain was good.

As for today another successful call for highs not hitting 40 in many locations with clouds and nw flow many forecasts several days out had 50’s today.

1. On monday we gradually change around to a southerly flow once again after a chilly start near 30 with some clouds we clear out and reach the low 50’s on average.

2. Tuesday should feature an increase in clouds late but with warm southerly flow lows start off in the upper 30’s and highs push 60 for most. By Tuesday night the next low pressure moves northeast. This system should weeken as it moves east with only a band of showers along the front. The main reason for the trend is that the frontal system will become occluded.  That being said I still expect strong WAA to transport northward moisture with rainfall from 1/2-1 inch. Highs should be in the 55-61 range Wednesday.

3. By Thursday the low cuts-off over the midwest as cold air moves in with clouds nw winds and raw light rain showers with temperatures steady in the 40’s. By Thursday night the temperatures fall into the 30’s which introduces another chance for snow showers. The highest elevations will have to watched for light accums on grass.

4. I’ll put up some pics later from the severe weather workshop I attended in Norman, OK this past week. The highlights of the trip featured several key speakers, poster presentations and a tour of the National weather center which includes the OU met program, SPC and NWS Norman office in a 5 story building.


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