snow this weekend?

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I did mention the GFS showing a rain to snow system this weekend. Now the ECMWF is on board and the most bullish which would allow rain to change over to several inches of wet snow sunday. I also see the CMC has jumped on board This system bears close watching! in fact this storm is a close cousin to the march 2008 storm as seen on the modeling.

On to a recap of the squall line numerous warnings for issued for the line with the widespread wind gusts it had. heavy rain has also led to high water rises today across most of the region.  Overall a good forecast, I’m little frustrated based on timing of these systems and my duties with STN that coverage of the severe weather could have been more in-depth.

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2 Responses to “snow this weekend?”

  1. mitch Says:

    FLOOD ADVISORY
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
    117 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011

    KYC011-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-129-131-133-153-159-
    165-173-175-189-193-195-197-205-237-010000-
    /O.NEW.KJKL.FA.Y.0007.110228T1817Z-110301T0000Z/
    /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
    FLEMING KY-ROWAN KY-BATH KY-ELLIOTT KY-MONTGOMERY KY-MORGAN KY-
    MENIFEE KY-JOHNSON KY-MARTIN KY-POWELL KY-MAGOFFIN KY-WOLFE KY-
    ESTILL KY-FLOYD KY-PIKE KY-LEE KY-BREATHITT KY-JACKSON KY-OWSLEY KY-
    KNOTT KY-PERRY KY-CLAY KY-LESLIE KY-LETCHER KY-HARLAN KY-
    117 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED AN

    * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR…
    BREATHITT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    ELLIOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
    ESTILL COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
    EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL FLEMING COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
    FLOYD COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    HARLAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    JOHNSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    KNOTT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    LESLIE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    LETCHER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    MAGOFFIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    MARTIN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    MENIFEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
    MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
    MORGAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    NORTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    OWSLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    PERRY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    POWELL COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
    ROWAN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
    SOUTHERN BATH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
    WOLFE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…

    * UNTIL 700 PM EST

    * AT 111 PM EST…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
    AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA WITH
    A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT AN
    AVERAGE OF AROUND ONE INCH OF RAIN…WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
    HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA SINCE SHORTLY BEFORE DAWN.
    ANOTHER THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO AN INCH AND ONE QUARTER OF
    RAIN IS EXPECTED ON AVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS RAIN IS FALLING
    ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND IS CAUSING PONDING OF WATERS
    ON ROADWAYS.

    * RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL SHOULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING TO OCCUR…
    ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS…POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IN CITIES
    AND TOWNS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY
    EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO…
    BEATTYVILLE…BOONEVILLE…CAMPTON…FRENCHBURG…HARLAN…
    HAZARD…HINDMAN…HYDEN…INEZ…IRVINE…JACKSON…MOREHEAD…
    MOUNT STERLING…OWINGSVILLE…PAINTSVILLE…PIKEVILLE…
    PRESTONSBURG…SALYERSVILLE…SANDY HOOK…STANTON…
    WEST LIBERTY…AND WHITESBURG.

  2. mitch Says:

    FLOOD ADVISORY
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
    1149 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

    KYC023-081-135-161-187-191-201-OHC001-015-131-145-281945-
    /O.CON.KILN.FA.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110228T1945Z/
    /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
    GRANT KY-PENDLETON KY-BRACKEN KY-MASON KY-OWEN KY-LEWIS KY-
    ROBERTSON KY-BROWN OH-PIKE OH-SCIOTO OH-ADAMS OH-
    1149 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

    …THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR ADAMS…SCIOTO…PIKE…SOUTHERN
    BROWN…ROBERTSON…LEWIS…OWEN…MASON…BRACKEN…SOUTHERN
    PENDLETON AND SOUTHERN GRANT COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM EST…

    AT 1148 AM EST…RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN MAINLY RIGHT
    ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. AS MUCH AS 1.5 TO 2 INCHES OF
    RAIN HAD FALLEN SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING…WITH UP TO AN ADDITIONAL
    INCH POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

    MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING ROADS AND FARMLAND NEAR CREEKS…STREAMS
    AND DRAINAGE DITCHES WILL OCCUR.

    SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE IMPACTED INCLUDE…FALMOUTH…
    GEORGETOWN…MAYSVILLE…PORTSMOUTH…WAVERLY…WHEELERSBURG…
    WILLIAMSTOWN…ABERDEEN…AUGUSTA…BROOKSVILLE…CAMP DIX AND HEAD
    OF GRASSY.

    IN ADDITION…FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN…AA HIGHWAY AT STATE
    ROUTE 19…ABIGAIL…ALHAMBRA…BEAR CREEK…BEAVER…BEECHWOOD…
    BENTONVILLE AND BERLIN.

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