trends toward lower totals

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– the 12z runs have come in drier across the region. In addition  look at the 9Z SREF shows the best omega forcing thursday night across Tennessee. The result if correct is one period of light snow across far northern KY Thursday morning. then a period of light snow Thursday afternoon and night across the state and burst of heavier snow moves across Tennessee and the region gets split.

this is where the 12z nam has trended toward

NAM QPF

update snow map

I’m thinking many of the watches turn into advisories with the warnings continuing for the cincy metro.

looking forward I recommend scrolling down and reading the long range post on the frequent snows expected in the next 2 weeks. we start with a clipper on saturday and go forward.

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8 Responses to “trends toward lower totals”

  1. Seth Says:

    Noticing on the 12z run of the gfs next week’s storm trending a bit further north.

  2. mitchg Says:

    trends in lowering totals continue tonight.

  3. mitchg Says:

    the new nam run shows a gap between snowfall regions over KY.

  4. henry Says:

    trends in just one model mitch, otherwise not much different

  5. Vinny Says:

    Nam looks to be incorrect about position of precip shield… I’m I looking at it wrong? Don’t answer that, I know I am.. lol

  6. mitchg Says:

    The nam is to dry but the 00z gfs stil matches up well with the map above, in the 1-3 region 3’s occur along 1-64 with 1’s along the ky-tn line although i expect everyone to be over an inch.

  7. mitchg Says:

    no clipper sneaking up on this forecaster saturday!

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