weeker disturbances through the weekend

by

starting tomorrow we will be back in NW flow once again. Instead of seeing a more organized clipper we will see several periods of light snow across the region. The first will be late Thursday afternoon and night

NAM radar

another disturbance follows friday night

GFS

More light snow showers and flurries from more disturbances are likely into Saturday. Each one of these has the potential to drop a coating to an inch of snow with slightly higher amounts in the upslope regions of southeast KY. While not requiring winter weather advisories slick spots will still be likely throughout the late week and weekend.

A couple of comments on the next storm. Models are finally getting a sense of the arctic air in place this weekend thus no  cutter track into the Ohio valley as expected. Part 1 Sunday likely a miss. Part 2 will still bring some snow with a west to east tracking low and a band of snow late Monday into Tuesday.

back to the long range once again i see where the 12z gfs is bringing a major warm up during the timeframe of the arctic blast now and the folks at accuweather are relieved of it with the 49*F forecast on Jan 18. I’ll have to post the gfs ensemble temperature maps later today to prove or disprove this run

Advertisements

2 Responses to “weeker disturbances through the weekend”

  1. mitchg Says:

    disprove the 12z gfs ensembles show it 8 below normal. right in line with the updated forecast for then week 3 now week 2.
    http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/12z11-15daytemps.html

  2. tornadolarkin Says:

    The GFS is all over the place on its most recent run. It looks seriously weird.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


%d bloggers like this: