euro model Uh-oh

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There have some interesting trends this afternoon which may put the white christmas plans on hold. the ECMWF model has followed shift south yesterday with another move south today in the track. This would mean our region would see quite a bit lighter snowfall with the chance northern Kentucky doesn’t get enough for a white christmas. This trend is due to the model lagging energy in the southern branch over the southern plains as a result it does phase with the energy needed for storm formation untill it reaches the southeast and heavier precipitation doesn’t fall till the storm is east of KY.  However the GFS still has the phasing earlier and tomorrow the storm enters the upper air network which will mean an endgame to the model wars. For more read the post from last night.

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4 Responses to “euro model Uh-oh”

  1. mitchg Says:

    18z gfs a wetter version of the euro.

  2. mitchg Says:

    nam model uh-oh.

  3. mitchg Says:

    vis down to 1/10th mile due to fog.

  4. mitchg Says:

    major forecast revisions including a reduction of the white-o-meter. euro owns points for being the first to see this solution.

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