Stormy Start to Week, Severe?

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1. A cold front is approaching the region today with this front moving in and being along the edge of a summertime ridge bringing north a warm front clusters of thunderstorms will likely develop late tonight and last through Tuesday. Unlike past events this month more instability will be in place similar to June as the pattern once again favors the development of mcs thunderstorm complexes near the fronts  in addition to scattered heating of the day storms. Also with multiple fronts in the region shear and helcity values will be slightly higher increasing the threat for an isolated tornado or two in the region. However the usual suspects with mcs’s gusty winds, small hail and hvy rains are most likely in terms of severe weather. The timing of thunderstorms is still uncertain however we’ll have to watch for a mcs to form tonight to our west and move into the region overnight and Monday morning with another mcs threat Tuesday morning.  Highs should be in the mid to upper 80’s each day Sunday through Tuesday with lows in the 60’s.

spc outlooks

Late Sunday

I’ll update as needed over the next few days with thoughts, watches and warnings.

radar

Central Great Lakes sector loop

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4 Responses to “Stormy Start to Week, Severe?”

  1. mitchg Says:

    Hot Thursday expected with heat index values from upper 90’s to around 105. Values could go above 105 if ecmwf dewpoint forecast verifies.

    • patty Says:

      Hey Mich! I hope all is well with you. Our air is broken at the new Quad Graphics here in Versailles and this old lady can’t take the heat in there!! So no heat please.

  2. mitchg Says:

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED AN

    * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR…
    CENTRAL PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY…

    * UNTIL 500 AM EDT

    * AT 1109 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
    AN AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. DOPPLER RADAR
    ESTIMATED THAT BETWEEN 2 AND 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN THE
    PAST 3 HOURS.

  3. mitchg Says:

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED AN

    * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR…
    MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
    NORTHERN MENIFEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
    SOUTHERN BATH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…

    * UNTIL 530 AM EDT TUESDAY.

    * AT 1118 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
    AN AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. DOPPLER RADAR
    ESTIMATED THAT BETWEEN 2 AND 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN THE
    PAST 3 HOURS.

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