Heat wave going going and gone

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We have had a very long stretch of hot weather over the past month or so across the region. A break from the heat is on the way!!!!!!

1. First the front which had a few storms run out ahead of it on Sunday moves through the region on Monday. Periods of showers and storms are likely with highs in the mid 80’s. The main threats from thunderstorms will be gusty winds and hvy rains. Once again severe indices are marginal similar to Sunday across the region so an isolated severe storm or two is possible. ( will update on Monday as needed with discussions, watches or warnings)

2.  Behind the front we will settle into a nw flow pattern with Canadian high pressure just to our northeast bringing in cooler and dryer air, also of note is this upper level low near buffalo which is the core of this shot of welcome cooler air.

with the nw flow highs should be in the upper 70’s to low 80’s with dryer air and lighter winds lows should be near or even under 60 each day Tuesday through Thursday.  Mostly sunny skies are expected as well thanks to the high nearby each day.

3. As for  4th of July plans all eyes should be focused on Alex in the gulf. One scenario brings Alex sharply northward late this week taking it into Texas then northward into the miss valley, with KY on the eastern portion of this thunderstorms would be widespread for the holiday weekend with a severe threat that accompanies tropical systems. However another scenario is for Alex to hit Mexico and lead to a much dryer holiday. I’ll update the status of Alex several times over the next few days, right now I’m giving equal weight to both solutions at this time.

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9 Responses to “Heat wave going going and gone”

  1. mitchg Says:

    14 day forecast updated!

  2. mitchg Says:

    SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
    1157 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2010

    INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ031>033-280445-
    CLARK-CRAWFORD-DUBOIS-FLOYD-HARRISON-HENRY-JEFFERSON-OLDHAM-ORANGE-
    PERRY-SCOTT-TRIMBLE-WASHINGTON-
    1157 PM EDT SUN JUN 27 2010

    …STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING…HEAVY RAIN…AND
    GUSTY WINDS…

    AT 1152 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
    STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF
    MADISON TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JASPER…AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

    FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING…HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
    OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
    MILE…AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 30 TO 40 MPH…ARE EXPECTED WITH
    THESE STORMS.

    THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT…
    ENGLISH…
    BEDFORD…
    HUNTINGBURG AIRPORT…
    BROWNSTOWN…
    TASWELL…
    TEMPLE…
    SIBERIA…
    UNIONTOWN…

    THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE
    MARKERS 16 AND 8.

    THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE
    MARKERS 74 AND 92.

  3. mitchg Says:

    these storms will move south and east overnight across the region. have your noaa weather radios on overnight for any flood or severe thunderstorm warnings.

  4. mitchg Says:

    morning update on Alex: Texas hit looking more likely now with shift of the euro northward with the new 00z run.

  5. mitchg Says:

    …A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
    THROUGH 215 PM EDT MONDAY AFTERNOON…

    SOUTHERN JACKSON…
    WEST CENTRAL OWSLEY…
    SOUTHEASTERN ROCKCASTLE…
    NORTHWESTERN CLAY AND
    NORTHERN LAUREL.

    AT 146 PM EDT…A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS
    LOCATED NEAR SAND HILL…OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOUNT VERNON…
    MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

    LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE…BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO…LAMERO AROUND
    155 PM EDT…MERSHONS AROUND 200 PM EDT…VICTORY AROUND 205 PM
    EDT…MOORES CREEK AROUND 210 PM EDT…

    RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN…WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE
    INCH PER HOUR…GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH…FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
    SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

  6. mitchg Says:

    afternoon update on Alex: Models coverging on a landfall near brownsville,TX, path of remnats still uncertain.

  7. mitchg Says:

    …STRONG THUNDERSTORM AFFECTING CUMBERLAND AND SOUTHEAST METCALFE
    COUNTIES…

    AT 353 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
    STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BREEDING…AND MOVING EAST
    AT 30 MPH.

    FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING…HEAVY RAIN…PENNY SIZE
    HAIL…AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 45 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
    WITH THIS STORM.

    THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT…
    BURKESVILLE…
    BECKS STORE…
    AMANDAVILLE…

  8. mitchg Says:

    …AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
    THROUGH 530 PM EDT MONDAY AFTERNOON…

    SOUTH CENTRAL ESTILL…
    SOUTHERN LEE…
    WESTERN BREATHITT…
    EAST CENTRAL JACKSON AND
    NORTHERN OWSLEY.

    AT 446 PM EDT…AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS
    LOCATED NEAR DELVINTA…OR 7 MILES WEST OF BOONEVILLE…MOVING EAST
    AT 30 MPH.

    LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE…BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO…PEBWORTH AROUND
    455 PM EDT…LOWER BUFFALO AROUND 500 PM EDT…STAY AROUND 505 PM
    EDT…LONE AROUND 510 PM EDT…AND COPEBRANCH AROUND 515 PM EDT.

    RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN…WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE
    INCH PER HOUR…GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH…FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
    SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

  9. mitchg Says:

    …A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 530
    PM EDT MONDAY AFTERNOON…

    EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL KNOX…
    SOUTHWESTERN HARLAN AND
    SOUTHERN BELL.

    AT 449 PM EDT…A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BINGHAMTOWN…
    OR NEAR MIDDLESBORO…MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

    LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE…BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO…FERNDALE AROUND
    455 PM EDT…HUTCH AROUND 500 PM EDT…OAKS AROUND 505 PM EDT…
    CUBAGE AROUND 510 PM EDT…AND INSULL AROUND 515 PM EDT.

    RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN…WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE
    INCH PER HOUR…GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH…FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
    SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

    DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
    THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER…IF YOU CAN HEAR
    THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD.

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