Saturday morning storm update

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Well plans to go stormchasing didn’t pan out, which works out well still as i will be able to update throughout the day on the site. It should be a busy one in Kentucky.

I’m seeing the likelihood for debris clouds and showers in the early morning hours which will likely limit instability.

However thunderstorms should be ongoing in the mid morning in MISS, west TENN and the boothill of MO, these storms should reach the Nashville and Bowling green areas by noon CT, 1 ET. This first line of storms will be able to produce gusty winds, hail and isolated tornadoes. This line will move into the bluegrass by 3 pm and eastern Kentucky by late afternoon.  scattered supercells may still be able to form ahead of the line. However I think the threat is decreasing with this batch b/c of debris clouds and past convection.

Behind batch 1 another line of storms is likely to fire over I-65 and move northeast across the state. I’m thinking the atmosphere has enough time to recover to allow for severe storms in this line with a threat for damaging winds, hail and a few tornadoes.

I think the region stays in a slight risk with limited instability but batch 2 could produce widespread severe weather but it’s a not a sure thing this batch will even have time to form over our region.

the spc outlooks will be around 1 am ct here’s the link, I’ll post a few comments in the morning.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/

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One Response to “Saturday morning storm update”

  1. trent Says:

    doesnt look like many debris clouds and showers this morning, all ive seen is sunny skies here in somerset.

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