quick update

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1. No changes for the next 48 hours scattered snow showers from east coast storm and much colder temps in the 30’s with nw winds. flurries for BWG coatings most places with some amounts locally up to 2 inches mainly se areas/higher elevations such as Pikeville. Snow will be hard to accumulate during the daytime with temps above freezing.

2. The storm for early next week is to far south for our liking on most of the models. Looking at the 500 mb set-up I just don’t see why the models are forming the storm in the central gulf and tracking it across florida, the storm track should be farther north. It also appears snow fans are losing votes with the gfs ensembles are the mean qpf is even lower with the new 00z run. However the 12z cmc ensembles and the 00z nogaps are still showing a sizeable snow event, so there is hope still but not a lot. The 00z ecmwf is close to clipping southern ky with some snow.

3. first thoughts on hurricane season: average to slightly above average

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3 Responses to “quick update”

  1. mitchg Says:

    light to moderate snow showers moving west to east across the state with temps at or below 32 expect a dusting regionwide with up to 1/2 inch in the heaviest snow showers.

  2. mitch Says:

    numerous snow showers this afternoon with temps below freezing will lead to some slick spots across the region local accums today of 1/2 inch are possbile. Up to another inch is possible tonight for areas NE of a e-town to somerset line.

  3. mitch Says:

    URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
    238 PM EST WED FEB 24 2010

    …ACCUMULATING SNOW POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
    THURSDAY…

    .A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO THE CENTRAL
    APPALACHIANS BY THURSDAY MORNING AND REACH THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY
    THURSDAY EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING ROUNDS OF SNOW SHOWERS WITH
    SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW RESULTING FROM THESE…ESPECIALLY FROM THIS
    EVENING THROUGH MID MORNING ON THURSDAY.

    KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-080-085-086-104-106-108-109-111-
    112-114-116-250345-
    /O.NEW.KJKL.WW.Y.0011.100224T2000Z-100225T1500Z/
    FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
    JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-LEE-
    BREATHITT-OWSLEY-CLAY-
    INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…FLEMINGSBURG…MOUNT STERLING…
    OWINGSVILLE…MOREHEAD…IRVINE…STANTON…FRENCHBURG…
    MOUNT VERNON…MCKEE…LONDON…CORBIN…WILLIAMSBURG…
    BARBOURVILLE…SANDY HOOK…WEST LIBERTY…CAMPTON…
    SALYERSVILLE…BEATTYVILLE…JACKSON…BOONEVILLE…MANCHESTER
    238 PM EST WED FEB 24 2010

    …WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY…

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
    WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
    THURSDAY.

    * SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.
    THE MOST WIDESPREAD AND INTENSE SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS
    EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SNOW SHOWERS MAY AFFECT THE END OF THE
    EVENING COMMUTE AS TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL TO FREEZING OR BELOW BY
    THAT POINT. THE MORNING COMMUTE IS LIKELY TO AFFECTED.

    * ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY MID MORNING ON
    THURSDAY. A FEW LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND 3 INCHES ARE
    POSSIBLE WHERE MORE PERSISTENT SNOW SHOWERS OCCUR.

    * TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES…AND POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS ON
    SECONDARY AND UNTREATED ROADS TONIGHT AND EARLY ON THURSDAY.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
    CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
    ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES…AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. IF
    TRAVELING…ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

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