18z gfs close to my thinking

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even though the new 00z was further east wed-thu the 18z is closer to my thinking. we get one mild low with rain sun-mon then another wed-thu with a snow chance. the amplification of the trough allows for a track just inland from the coast wed-thu. Models in good agreement on Monday storm.

18z gfs mon am

18z gfs wed am

18z gfs wed pm

18z gfs thu am

A blockbuster winter defining storm is coming during the first few days of march. I had thought it would be late next week but it is delayed a bit.

00z gfs don’t focus on the details but again i like the idea the gfs has with this.

mar 1

mar 2

mar 3

mar 4

The ecmwf overall has been shaky recently in my view, the cmc not even producing output for certain runs and the jma to focused on the northern stream. this leaves the gfs as the top dog model wise as it was the first model to catch on to the set-up for the next week.

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