Models disagreements now showing up

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to start it will snow Sunday and Monday across the region that is a high likelihood now. The track of a very powerful clipper will decide who gets what. I have made some maps to go through my thoughts now.

Sunday morning

– snow si spreading into the western half of the state ahead of the clipper with temps still in the 20’s.

the clipper moves east by early afternoon bringing this first period of snow eastward with waa and a dry slot moving in southwest of the low track.

by early evening sunday the low is over southeastern ky as we await the upper low passage in Tenn which will cause the delevopment of another period of snow.

snow continues through monday with snow showers outside the main snow band.

However these maps have the upper low passing through ten while yesterday’s gfs runs and some models are still farther north the new gfs and Canadian show the upper level low tracking over Tenn. this track would favor southern ky for higher accumulations while a clipper track over southern ky would put Louisville, Lexington and cincy in the favorable band. I will wait till the next update to issue a forecast for accumulations with the model uncertainty. Right now a band of 4-7 is likely with 2-4 both north and south of this band.

Friday- mostly cloudy low 15 high 33

Saturday- mostly cloudy, isolated furries low 20 high 33

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