update for monday rush hour system and mid week event

by

light precip is moving into the area and should move through overnight then weaken as it reaches I-75. For most of us this should fall as a period of light snow with around a 1/2 inch or so for many locations in zone 2. For zone 1 a mix of ice, rain and light snow is likely with minor snow accums and slick spots not out of the question. Zone 3 may see a light coating of snow as well. the eastern part of the state will see null or trace amounts.

here is the nws statement for this event

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1042 PM EST SUN DEC 6 2009

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-071000-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…PAOLI…SALEM…SCOTTSBURG…MADISON…
JASPER…MARENGO…TELL CITY…CORYDON…NEW ALBANY…
JEFFERSONVILLE…HAWESVILLE…HARDINSBURG…BRANDENBURG…
BEAVER DAM…LEITCHFIELD…ELIZABETHTOWN…FORT KNOX…
MOUNT WASHINGTON…SHEPHERDSVILLE…LOUISVILLE…LA GRANGE…
BEDFORD…NEW CASTLE…SHELBYVILLE…FRANKFORT…GEORGETOWN…
CYNTHIANA…TAYLORSVILLE…LAWRENCEBURG…VERSAILLES…
LEXINGTON…PARIS…CARLISLE…BARDSTOWN…SPRINGFIELD…
HARRODSBURG…NICHOLASVILLE…WINCHESTER…HODGENVILLE…
LEBANON…DANVILLE…LANCASTER…RICHMOND…MORGANTOWN…
BROWNSVILLE…MUNFORDVILLE…GREENSBURG…CAMPBELLSVILLE…
LIBERTY…STANFORD…RUSSELLVILLE…BOWLING GREEN…FRANKLIN…
SCOTTSVILLE…GLASGOW…TOMPKINSVILLE…EDMONTON…COLUMBIA…
JAMESTOWN…BURKESVILLE…ALBANY
1042 PM EST SUN DEC 6 2009 /942 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009/

…WINTRY PRECIPITATION HEADED OUR WAY…

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT LIGHT SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA…NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND THE NORTHERN BLUEGRASS REGION
OF KENTUCKY TOWARD MONDAY MORNING. ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY…A MIX
OF SNOW…FREEZING RAIN OR RAIN MAY FALL…WITH JUST RAIN OVER
FAR SOUTHERN KENTUCKY. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE…MAINLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND THOSE NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY COUNTIES
NEAR THE OHIO RIVER.

BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SNOW OR ICE COVERED ROADS ON YOUR WAY
TO WORK OR SCHOOL MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND THE FREEZING
MARK.

Fro those in any zone minor slick spots will likely be found, allow extra time when out tomorrow morning anything should melt by noon with highs near 40.

nam model

midnight

6 am

2. A major storm should track from the southern plains to Cleveland forming a secondary low off the east coast. For this means a windy hvy rain event Late Tuesday and early Wednesday, there may be enough cool and dry air for a sleet pellet or two at the start. the main issues with this storm will again be the hvy rains, wind and thunder. temps should spike into the 50’s early Wednesday before an arctic front comes through leaving us only in the 20’s thursday. I’ll have more this later Monday.

3. Another chance for snow is found for friday and this one to me has the looks for a widespread snowfall across the region with some accumulation.

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7 Responses to “update for monday rush hour system and mid week event”

  1. mitchg Says:

    11:00 update:

    most mesonet sites on either side of 32, 31 at my house in bowling green. stuff should reach me first. humidity around 70% meaning some of it on radar could be verga.

  2. mitchg Says:

    12:00 am update:

    band of sleet, higher reflectivity on radar moving ne toward I-65.

  3. mitchg Says:

    very light sleet now in bowling green this period of mainly sleet will move east overnight.

    2:00 am update

  4. mitchg Says:

    SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
    956 AM EST MON DEC 7 2009

    KYZ044-050>052-058>060-088-104-106>115-117>120-071700-
    FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-
    MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-
    LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
    INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…FLEMINGSBURG…MOUNT STERLING…
    OWINGSVILLE…MOREHEAD…IRVINE…STANTON…FRENCHBURG…HARLAN…
    SANDY HOOK…WEST LIBERTY…PAINTSVILLE…CAMPTON…SALYERSVILLE…
    PRESTONSBURG…BEATTYVILLE…JACKSON…HINDMAN…BOONEVILLE…
    HAZARD…HYDEN…WHITESBURG…INEZ…PIKEVILLE
    956 AM EST MON DEC 7 2009

    …LIGHT WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF
    THE MORNING…

    PATCHY LIGHT SNOW AND DRIZZLE CAN BE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
    THE REST OF THE MORNING. WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW FREEZING…
    PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES ARE RISING…
    AND WILL EVENTUALLY WARM ABOVE FREEZING EVERYWHERE BY EARLY
    AFTERNOON. WHILE LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION
    IS ANTICIPATED… SLICK SPOTS CAN STILL BE EXPECTED ON AREA ROADWAYS
    AND SIDEWALKS UNTIL TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING. THOSE
    TRAVELING EARLY THIS MORNING SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA ROOM
    BETWEEN YOUR VEHICLE AND THE ONE IN FRONT OF YOU.

  5. mitchg Says:

    …HIGH WINDS LIKELY ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA AND
    NORTHERN KENTUCKY…

    .A STRONG AND DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT
    THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
    BRING STRONG GRADIENT WINDS TO THE REGION ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
    COLD FRONT BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING AND LASTING INTO THE
    AFTERNOON HOURS.

    INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>025-028>043-045>049-053>057-
    065>067-081000-
    /O.NEW.KLMK.HW.A.0002.091209T0900Z-091209T2100Z/
    ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
    CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
    BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-
    OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-
    HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-
    BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-
    JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-
    MADISON KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-
    INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…PAOLI…SALEM…SCOTTSBURG…MADISON…
    JASPER…MARENGO…TELL CITY…CORYDON…NEW ALBANY…
    JEFFERSONVILLE…HAWESVILLE…HARDINSBURG…BRANDENBURG…
    ELIZABETHTOWN…FORT KNOX…MOUNT WASHINGTON…SHEPHERDSVILLE…
    LOUISVILLE…LA GRANGE…BEDFORD…NEW CASTLE…SHELBYVILLE…
    FRANKFORT…GEORGETOWN…CYNTHIANA…TAYLORSVILLE…
    LAWRENCEBURG…VERSAILLES…LEXINGTON…PARIS…CARLISLE…
    BARDSTOWN…SPRINGFIELD…HARRODSBURG…NICHOLASVILLE…
    WINCHESTER…HODGENVILLE…LEBANON…DANVILLE…LANCASTER…
    RICHMOND…CAMPBELLSVILLE…LIBERTY…STANFORD
    339 PM EST MON DEC 7 2009 /239 PM CST MON DEC 7 2009/

    …HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
    WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
    WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
    WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

    * TIMING: THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
    FROM AROUND 5AM EST AND WILL LAST UNTIL ROUGHLY 4PM EST
    WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…WITH THE BEST CHANCE OCCURRING WEDNESDAY
    MORNING FROM 9AM TO NOON.

    * WINDS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED…AS WELL AS
    WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH AT TIMES…ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER
    TERRAIN OF THE BLUEGRASS REGION OF KENTUCKY.

    * IMPACTS: VEHICLES ON NORTH-TO-SOUTH ROADWAYS…ESPECIALLY HIGH
    PROFILE VEHICLES…WILL HAVE EXTREME DIFFICULTY TRAVELING ON
    WEDNESDAY. IT IS POSSIBLE VEHICLES COULD BE BLOWN OFF OF
    ROADWAYS. SOME LOOSE ITEMS LIKE GARBAGE CANS…LAWN FURNITURE
    AND OTHER SUCH ITEMS MAY BE BLOWN AWAY. SMALL BRANCHES COULD
    ALSO BE SNAPPED AND BLOWN DOWN IN THESE HIGH WINDS.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
    HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH…OR GUSTS OF
    58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
    FORECASTS.

  6. james Says:

    Hey Mitch. Looks like the 18z gfs for Sat. trended colder than the 12z, especially the new gfs. What do you think?

  7. Amy Says:

    Looking forward to seeing some possible flakes this weekend! 🙂

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