saturday overview

by

hopefully many of you are checking this site today wondering about the details of the rain today.

1. This morning periods of showers and storms will be ongoing east of a covington to shelbyville to campbelsville line and will be hvy at times with some areas reciving an inch or two of rain by mid afternoon which may lead to even more flooding problems, as of 1 am a flash flood warning is still in effect for southern portions of the lex metro.

2. this main batch of storms should sweep west to east clearing the lexington metro by early afternoon, jackson by 4 pm and hang on till mid evening in the far east parts of KY. another upper air disturbance which the models are now starting to figure out will fire off more late afternoon storms across 1-65 areas.

upper level disturbance on the gfs 500 mb level

3. The second batch of storms may arrive at commonwealth right in time for kick off. The first batch should not be strong. However there will be some daytime heating and sunshine in the early afternoon which can destabilze the atmosphere with this decent upper air disturbance I could see some strong storms from batch 2 with gusty winds and small hail. These storms will weaken shortly after sunset.

nam radar for sat eve

big cool down follows early next week.

I’ll do my best to post those flood warnings and there is still a flash flood watch in effect, good job by the nws getting this out early! Eventhough i thought a flood adv should have been issued for woodford county last night about 9:15 with the rainfall rates being so high.

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5 Responses to “saturday overview”

  1. Mitchg Says:

    …A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM EDT FOR
    NORTH CENTRAL WHITLEY…NORTHWESTERN KNOX AND SOUTHERN LAUREL
    COUNTIES…

    AT 926 AM EDT…LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED SEVERAL
    ROADS IN THE PROCESS OF BEING CLOSED IN CORBIN. PORTIONS OF MAIN
    STREET…MASTER STREET…5TH STREET…AND BAYTON CREEK ROAD WERE
    BEING CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

  2. Mitchg Says:

    * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR…
    SOUTHWESTERN BREATHITT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    NORTH CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    EAST CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…
    OWSLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…

    * UNTIL 1230 PM EDT

    * AT 926 AM EDT…LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED WATER
    INSIDE A HOUSE IN LEROSE IN OWSLEY COUNTY. HEAVY RAINFALL FROM
    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE…ADDING TO THE ALREADY HIGH
    RAINFALL TOTALS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND AN INCH ARE
    POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA.

  3. Mitchg Says:

    …A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM EDT FOR
    JESSAMINE COUNTY…

    AT 928 AM EDT…TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A THUNDERSTORM
    PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA. THE CREEK ALONG
    KENTUCKY HIGHWAY 169 HAS OVERFLOWED ITS BANKS. SOME LOCALIZED STREET
    FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THIS HIGHWAY…AND ALSO IN OTHER AREAS
    THAT HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL SINCE LAST NIGHT.

  4. Mitchg Says:

    slight risk of severe thunderstorms western sections today. this from the spc.
    WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A COMPACT VORT LOBE ROTATING AROUND UPPER
    LOW INTO MO/AR. THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN IL/WESTERN KY
    BY EARLY AFTERNOON…WHERE SOME SURFACE HEATING AND DEWPOINTS IN THE
    60S WILL YIELD MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 500 J/KG. COOLING TEMPERATURES
    ALOFT MAY FURTHER DESTABILIZE THE REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS
    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ALONG/AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
    SURFACE FRONT. WESTERLY MID LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME
    RATHER STRONG DURING THE AFTERNOON…PROMOTING CONVECTIVE
    ORGANIZATION WITH ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. HAIL AND
    DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREATS.

  5. Mitchg Says:

    a general 2-4 inches as round 1 ends. streams and creeks will still be running high folks! round 2 is forming into a squall line on the other side of the ohio river could get here in time for the 2nd half of uk game.

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