the week ahead

by

 I will explain the division of the region as we go on.

ZONE A

kycountymap35

this includes the city of Somerset, Bowling Green and Elizabethtown all others skip to zone B below.

1. For all of us tomorrow will be sunny to start with an increase in clouds toward the end of the day with highs in the lower 80’s after a comfortable start near 60.

2. by Tuesday the persistent ridge over the upper lakes should give way to increasing tropical moisture and low pressure working across the south. these will combine to spread showers and storms throughout the day with locally hvy rains. These showers and storms will move slowly from SE to W across this zone due to an unusual easterly flow. with clouds high should only be near 80.

00z nam tue eve

 

3.  Our features move little through Wednesday so more of the same coverage both days should be about 60% in this zone.

Zone B

this is most of you including Lexington, Louisville, Ashland, Pikeville and Covington

1.  For all of us tomorrow will be sunny to start with an increase in clouds toward the end of the day with highs in the lower 80’s after a comfortable start near 60.

2. a persistent high pressure over the great lakes will hold off showers to our south from a tropical low  and  the gulf juice it brings north. However, clouds will be around from this system keeping highs near 80 and muggy conditions. There is possibility of  a shower or two coming into this zone as shown by the gfs but for now i will keep shower coverage at 20% for zone B through Wednesday.

All of us

1. The tropical low should move northeast by thursday and friday leading to rain for everyone. i expect this to clear out by next weekend through the models aren’t buying into that now.

2. BIG cooldown coming around the 24th

gfs 18z above

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