there were some issues with wordpress the provider of this blog earlier tonight. In the event the site is down for whatever reason i will update on my twitter account mwgaines.
1. tuesday the upper low will move little across the ohio valley several disturbances, mini troughs and boundaries will travel around it sparking periods of showers and storms throughout the day. i expect more slow movers with the threat of more flood adv’s, coverage should be 60%. I will post flood adv’s as my computer access dictates, with a morning drive from versailles to bowling green and afternoon classes.
2. the upper low will weaken for wednesday lowering our storm chances to about 40%. highs will range around 80 tuesday with quite a variety due to storms and in the lower to mid 80’s wed.
3. thursday and friday will see typical late summer days with low to mid 80’s for highs and fair skies.
4. PATTERN CHANGE!!!!!!!!!!!! I’m really getting tired of this stagnate weather pattern. By next weekend a powerful front with a fall chill behind it comes blasting through, a tropical system may be organizing in the western gulf and get pulled into the front. there is fairly good model agreement with this set-up as well. our focus by tommorow’s update should turn to this, which to me at least is quite a bit more fun to analyze.
September 7, 2009 at 11:55 pm |
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1030 PM EDT MON SEP 7 2009
…DENSE FOG TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY
MORNING…
.CLEARING SKIES…LIGHT WINDS…AND AMPLE MOISTURE AT THE SURFACE
FROM RECENT RAINFALL WILL ENCOURAGE DENSE FOG TO DEVELOP ACROSS
MOST OF EASTERN KENTUCKY OVERNIGHT. THIS FOG IS EXPECTED TO LAST
INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-081030-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FG.Y.0011.090908T0400Z-090908T1400Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…FLEMINGSBURG…MOUNT STERLING…
OWINGSVILLE…MOREHEAD…IRVINE…STANTON…FRENCHBURG…
MOUNT VERNON…MCKEE…SOMERSET…LONDON…MONTICELLO…
WHITLEY CITY…CORBIN…WILLIAMSBURG…BARBOURVILLE…
MIDDLESBORO…PINEVILLE…HARLAN…SANDY HOOK…WEST LIBERTY…
PAINTSVILLE…CAMPTON…SALYERSVILLE…PRESTONSBURG…
BEATTYVILLE…JACKSON…HINDMAN…BOONEVILLE…HAZARD…
MANCHESTER…HYDEN…WHITESBURG…INEZ…PIKEVILLE
1030 PM EDT MON SEP 7 2009
…DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT TUESDAY…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT TUESDAY.
PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL FORM ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY LATER TONIGHT.
THIS FOG IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND AND ENCOMPASS MOST OF AREA BY DAWN
TUESDAY. THE DENSE FOG WILL LEAD TO VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO NEAR
ZERO AT TIMES. THE FOG SHOULD LAST UNTIL AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE
TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE LIFTING AND BREAKING UP.
RESIDENTS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION DURING THE TUESDAY MORNING
COMMUTE. SOME OF THE AFFECTED ROADWAYS INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
INTERSTATE 75…THE HAL ROGERS PARKWAY…THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY…US
23…US 25E…US 119…KY 15 AND KY 80.
THE FOG WILL GRADUALLY LIFT AND DISSIPATE BY 10 AM EDT TUESDAY
MORNING.
a loy of residual mositure left.
September 7, 2009 at 11:56 pm |
loy=lot
September 8, 2009 at 2:16 pm |
severe thunderstorm warning for bath county. strong line of storms, more from nws jkl
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
212 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009
KYZ050>052-058>060-081845-
ROWAN-BATH-MONTGOMERY-MENIFEE-POWELL-ESTILL-
212 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009
…A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
THROUGH 245 PM EDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON…
SOUTHWESTERN ROWAN…
SOUTHEASTERN BATH…
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY…
MENIFEE…
POWELL AND
NORTHERN ESTILL.
AT 211 PM EDT…STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM HOPE TO LEVEE TO PALMER…OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 7 MILES SOUTH OF OWINGSVILLE TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF STANTON TO
10 MILES NORTHWEST OF IRVINE…MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE…BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO…OLYMPIA AROUND
220 PM EDT…OLYMPIA SPRINGS AROUND 225 PM EDT…WISEMAN CROSSING
STATION AROUND 230 PM EDT…VAUGHNS MILL AROUND 235 PM EDT AND SUDITH
AROUND 240 PM EDT.
RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN…WITH RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN
ONE AND TWO INCHES PER HOUR…GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH…FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DITCHES AND LOW WATER
CROSSING WILL RUN FULL.
September 8, 2009 at 2:52 pm |
BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
239 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY
HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTH CENTRAL BATH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
MENIFEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
NORTH CENTRAL POWELL COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
* UNTIL 330 PM EDT
* AT 235 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL…AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MEANS…OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF STANTON…AND MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR…
ROTHWELL…CORNWELL AND FAGAN BY 250 PM EDT…
TABOR BY 255 PM EDT…
FRENCHBURG BY 300 PM EDT…
SUDITH BY 305 PM EDT…
RATLITT AND MARIBA BY 310 PM EDT…
DENNISTON BY 315 PM EDT…