wednesday rain chances

by

let’s look at the models for wednesday

18z nam

wed am

wed pm

wed eve

18z gfs

wed am

wed pm

wed eve

my thoughts

– showers and a few storms are already overspreading the region and should really pick up toward the morning commute

– they will be numerous tomorrow mainly in the morning then there should be a midday break before more showers and thunder late in the day

– storms will have a hvy rain threat this was seen in west KY today with several localized flood warnings

– models above having convective feedback issues look for more general rains than the “blob” totals the models have i still think along with the nws that an inch is realistic for most of us  by early Thursday

tomorrow night we’ll look at Thursday night’s rain chances which may bring more of a flood threat

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