today is July 1

by

it seems like Oct 1 to me. But I’ll take it because i hate the heat.

1. we should between the upper level low and the edges of the heat ridge for Thursday and Friday with temps under 80 and lows in the upper 50’s, i expect very little wind as well but some fair weather clouds.

2. for the 4th we may just get into the dreaded ring of fire around the summer’s heat ridge which will still be sw of us this meaning a chance of showers and storms from week fronts and disturbances moving around it with  higher rain chances in the south. we’ll be on the edge of the ridge continuing storm chances until Tuesday when the ridge retreats again. highs will be in the low to mid 80’s.

the models are picking up on a impressive complex Saturday afternoon rounding the heat ridge, this may require me to raise storm chances from 30% to likely if it’s still there by later Thursday on the models.

nam

gfs

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