severe punch to today’s action

by

with the front getting closer to the region there’s a threat for more organized activty today from the ouflow boundries of yesturday’s storms and favorbakle dynamics ahead of the front. these storms should have more bark in a few spots with small hail as cooler air moves in aloft and of course local gusty winds. the SPC has issued a MD for our area.

THIS JUST IN

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
204 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY
HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
MENIFEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…

* UNTIL 230 PM EDT

* AT 204 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR FAGAN…OR
7 MILES WEST OF FRENCHBURG…MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
FRENCHBURG…
ARTVILLE…
BIG WOODS…
CEDAR GROVES…
CLAY LICK.

we’ll have to add isolated tornadoes as well for today’s threats as this storm is spinning up a little.

SPC md

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0882
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1228 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2009
  
   AREAS AFFECTED…SRN IND/OH…CNTRL/ERN KY…MIDDLE/ERN TN…NRN
   AL/GA
  
   CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY
  
   VALID 281728Z – 281830Z
  
   SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE FROM THE OH RIVER TO THE TN VALLEY AS
   SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS DEVELOP DOWNSTREAM OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH
   OVER THE MID-MS RIVER VALLEY. DAMAGING WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL SHOULD
   BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. A SEVERE TSTM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
   FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.
  
   17Z SUBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED A MESOLOW AROUND 30 NW
   EVV…WITH COLD FRONTAL SEGMENTS EXTENDING NEWD AND S/SWWD OF THIS
   CYCLONE. CU/CB FIELD APPEARS TO BE INCREASINGLY AGITATED FROM THE OH
   RIVER TO THE TN VALLEY DOWNSTREAM OF THIS FRONT AND SHORT WAVE
   TROUGH NOW CROSSING THE MID-MS VALLEY. HI-RES AND OPERATIONAL MODEL
   GUIDANCE ALL DEPICT AN INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE THROUGH THE
   AFTERNOON. A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND AN UPPER-LEVEL JET
   STREAK OVERSPREADING THE REGION WILL SUPPORT UPDRAFT ORGANIZATION. A
   RELATIVELY UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILE SHOULD LEAD TO UPSCALE
   EVOLUTION INTO CLUSTERS AND SHORT LINE SEGMENTS. SEVERE HAIL SHOULD
   BE THE MAIN INITIAL THREAT…WITH DAMAGING WINDS BECOMING MORE
   PREDOMINANT LATER ON.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0882.html

expect live updates this afternoon. again more storms with hvy rain some hail and a tornado threat.

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2 Responses to “severe punch to today’s action”

  1. mitchg Says:

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 313
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    220 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2009

    THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

    EASTERN KENTUCKY
    FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
    EXTREME SOUTHERN OHIO
    EASTERN TENNESSEE
    WESTERN VIRGINIA
    SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA

    EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
    1000 PM EDT.

    HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
    MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

    THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
    STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST OF
    CHATTANOOGA TENNESSEE TO 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF CHARLESTON
    WEST VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
    ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

    REMEMBER…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
    FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
    AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
    THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
    AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
    DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

    DISCUSSION…DESTABILIZING AIR MASS COMBINED WITH INCREASING LARGE
    SCALE LIFT… ASSOCIATED WITH MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO THE
    WESTERN LOWER OH VALLEY…WILL RESULT IN THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE
    IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY INTO THE EVENING HOURS. MODERATE INSTABILITY
    AND INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SEVERE MULTICELL STORMS
    WITH HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE.

    AVIATION…A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
    TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
    KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
    MOTION VECTOR 25025.

  2. mitchg Says:

    BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
    TORNADO WARNING
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
    303 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2009

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY
    HAS ISSUED A

    * TORNADO WARNING FOR…
    EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL ELLIOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY…
    CENTRAL MORGAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY…

    * UNTIL 330 PM EDT

    * AT 301 PM EDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR DEHART…OR
    NEAR WEST LIBERTY…MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

    * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
    WEST LIBERTY…
    DEHART…
    DINGUS…
    ELAMTON…
    ELKFORK.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO…THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
    QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

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