storm recap and the week ahead

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what a busy weekend weatherwise and with all the graduation activities! the UK graduation ceremonies are over the top.

storm recap

Garrard and Madison county twister

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=27330&source=0

this was a strong tornado with extensive property loss including loss of life and injuries. Our thoughts and prayers go to the victims of this storm. Once again Madison county was hit hard this season.

barren and metcalfe twister

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=27344&source=0  

 this was a f-1 tornado but still property damage occurred along the path.

flooding

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=27341&source=0

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=jkl&storyid=27436&source=0

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/product.php?site=jkl&product=pns&issuedby=jkl&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=jkl&storyid=27340&source=0

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=jkl&storyid=27447&source=0

this was a awful set-up friday with both hvy rain on saturated soil and a mesocale complex that produced severe weather.

one question i still have is why the spc did not issue a tornado watch???? i voiced my concerns when it did not come for most of the area and now we see the hard way what a fatal mistake that was in a literal sense.

again my thoughts and prayers go out to those affected. I will pass along information about any ways you can help those storm victums I will personally give a contribution to any organizations I list.

the week ahead

for the first time in years i did not look at any computer models in a few days. now it’s time to get caught up.

1. Monday and Tuesday will see a mixture of clouds and sun with highs around 70 as high pressure and the old front battle, let’s keep our fingers crossed for all sun as i have seen enough overcast skies for a while.

2. the old front moves north as a warm front ahead of another strong cool front this will result in scattered showers and storms Wednesday these will just be non severe storms with highs in the mid 70’s.

3. thursday the cold front comes through late with anotyher complex of showers and storms very gusty winds and hail will  again be the threats with an isolated tornado not out of the question.

take a look at the spc for wednesday a rare moderate risk for day 3 by there discussion a upgrade to high risk for a complex of thunderstorms with very gusty severe and widespread winds   is possible any complex would then come south and east.

 

my risk for Thursday, that complex should weaken through the morning then refire in the afternoon

us map9

 4. friday and saturday should see continued storm chances and highs in the low and mid 70’s.

5. the rest of month looks cool and wet with frequent storms. summer is still a way away which is fine with me as i don’t like the heat all that much!!!!

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One Response to “storm recap and the week ahead”

  1. mitchg Says:

    nws
    ALTHOUGH WIND FIELDS ARE
    IMPRESSIVE WITH THIS FRONT THE BEST DYNAMICS WILL REMAIN TO THE
    NORTH AND WEST SO IT LOOKS AS IF SEVERE STORMS WILL NOT BE A
    CONCERN.

    that’s a relief no severe storms Thursday nothing can change in 4 days.

    i would have written
    ” at this time the wind fields look impressive along the front however at this time the majority of the forecast models and thinking here at the office is, as the front slows the best dynamics will stay north making severe weather less likely”. However the chance for severe weather is not out of the question.

    i think the tough questions need to be asked of the spc on why they went with a severe thunderstorm watch over a tornado watch for most of Friday afternoon.

    i really think the conservative stance to severe weather is not the way to go. if people see the weather agencies taking things lightly they will do so and follow suite and not be totally prepared for what might come.

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