long term: nasty april fools reality

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1. after the front passes through sunday a bitter blast of cold for early april and a nw flow will dominate for monday and tuesday. temps will plummet to around 32 and stay there through tuesday. pieces of upper level energy will spin around the low and the flow will be ideal for lake effect precip to aid with these disturbances. the result will be numerous snow showers and jan like weather. a freeze is also tuesday night.

the gfs is picking up on some decent qpf with these disturbances

mon am gfs above mon eve below

surface temps in the 20’s tuesday morning on the 18z gfs with still more snow showers

 total qpf monday and tuesday all snow

even with 5:1 ratios we could put some snow on the ground early next week and a freeze next wednesday. a harsh april fools reality indeed.

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