sunday update 1 of 2

by

don;t forget to set the clocks forward for sunday. this will change the time of issuance for our weather models

after the time change the models will be issued at 

euro 4 pm, am

gfs 11:30 pm, 5:30 am, 11:30 am, 5:30 pm

nam 10:00 pm, 4:00 am, 10:00 am, 4:00 pm

dgex 7:30 am,pm

Jma 3:30 pm

Cmc 2:30 am, 2:00 pm

Ukmet 3:30 am,pm

Nogaps 1:30 am,pm

here is the lastest on our severe threats

1. sunday afternoon sunshine comes out leading to instabilty and the formation of scattered storms for the late afternoon and evening some of which may have gusty winds I’ll be updating throughout the day though after 2 i have several events i have to attend which may limit my updates. highs will reach the low to mid 70’s and even outside of storms gutsy winds will be found.

nam radar at 7 pm

threat 2

tuesday

after morning showers some instabilty should be present in the afternoon to refire storms since we will be in the prime sector near the warm front in the warm sector some of the storms may have hail and isolated tornadoes in addtion to gusty winds. I still think after scattered late afternoon strong to severe cells a more widespread severe event rolls through in the form of a squall line tuesday night.

nam radar

it’s several hrs slow a typical bias of the nam, the radar images with my time of this event  

tuesday afternoon

tuesday early eve

 

a quick look at something further out for friday on the JMA

I’m keeping an eye on that system as well still for potential winter weather.

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