tommorow we should see precip break out over southern ky and merging with upper level energy diving in from the nw this will likley result in periods of rain, ice and snow sat pm changing to snow by sat night. I expect some slick travel later tommorow due to snow and ice accumlations. at first snow will only accumulate on grass but roads will become slippery as temps fall during the day from near 32-36 to the mid and upper 20’s. ratios should near 10:1 but it will be a hvy wet snow. there however is little room for error as 20 miles could make the diffference and i still do expect another nw correction from the models tonight though not as big as we have seen today.
i must apolgize for last night my noaa radio did go off around 4:30-5 for the storms which strengthed late at night which is rare, a few warnings were issued. the spc also dropped the ball with the lack of watches in our area.
timeline
sat pm
sat eve
by mid eve the rest of you change to snow
FIRST CALL ON TOTALS
keep in mind a light iceing is also possibile.
UPDATED CALL
i went with the 00z gfs it’s not as agressive as the sref or dry like the nam.
after seeing that my map stays the same.
February 27, 2009 at 9:02 pm |
Thanks Mitch…keep us posted.
February 27, 2009 at 9:15 pm |
Any chance the nam is wrong and maybe we get a more NW track.
February 27, 2009 at 11:14 pm |
yes gfs still has it.
February 27, 2009 at 10:04 pm |
winter storm watch ( is not)out for all of ky
February 27, 2009 at 11:14 pm |
please check your sources before posting watches/warnings there are no winter storm watches in effect now. however feel free to comment. i edited your comment.
February 27, 2009 at 10:06 pm |
hey
February 27, 2009 at 10:19 pm |
Mitch are you still calling for 3-6 for morgan co or has the new models out change that?
February 27, 2009 at 11:16 pm |
I’m going with the 00z gfs the sref is wetter and the nam is dryer since on the 00z gfs we do get the qpf we will see dynamical cooling. nws appears to be standing pat on this one as well.
February 27, 2009 at 11:29 pm |
I updated the 14 day 70’S FOR NEXT WEEKEND!!!!!!!!