quick eve update

by

tommorow we should see precip break out over southern ky and merging with upper level energy diving in from the nw this will likley result in periods of rain, ice and snow sat pm changing to snow by sat night. I expect some slick travel later tommorow due to snow and ice accumlations. at first snow will only accumulate on grass but roads will become slippery as temps fall during the day from near 32-36 to the mid and upper 20’s. ratios should near 10:1 but it will be a hvy wet snow. there however is little room for error as 20 miles could make the diffference and i still do expect another nw correction from the models tonight though  not as big as we have seen today.

i must apolgize for last night my noaa radio did go off around 4:30-5 for the storms which strengthed late at night which is rare, a few warnings were issued. the spc also dropped the ball with the lack of watches in our area.

timeline

sat pm

kycountymap18

sat eve

kycountymap191

by mid eve the rest of you change to snow

FIRST CALL ON TOTALS

kycountymap20

keep in mind a light iceing is also possibile.

UPDATED CALL

i went with the 00z gfs it’s not as agressive as the sref or dry like the nam.

after seeing that my map stays the same.

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9 Responses to “quick eve update”

  1. William Says:

    Thanks Mitch…keep us posted.

  2. MikeM Says:

    Any chance the nam is wrong and maybe we get a more NW track.

  3. mike Says:

    winter storm watch ( is not)out for all of ky

    • mitchg Says:

      please check your sources before posting watches/warnings there are no winter storm watches in effect now. however feel free to comment. i edited your comment.

  4. chris Says:

    hey

  5. marsha Says:

    Mitch are you still calling for 3-6 for morgan co or has the new models out change that?

    • mitchg Says:

      I’m going with the 00z gfs the sref is wetter and the nam is dryer since on the 00z gfs we do get the qpf we will see dynamical cooling. nws appears to be standing pat on this one as well.

  6. mitchg Says:

    I updated the 14 day 70’S FOR NEXT WEEKEND!!!!!!!!

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