light snow in the works

by

current radar

system timeline

8am

kycountymap121

10 am

kycountymap131

noon

kycountymap14

3pm

kycountymap151

5pm

kycountymap161

7pm

kycountymap171

 

summary

warm front moves through with flurries around sunrise temps rise in the am from 30 to the low and mid 40’s before the front sweeps through in the afternoon

light rain moves in and quickly changes to snow during the afternoon ending from west to east during the early evening snow may be moderate at times temps will drop rapidly and it will be windy.

black ice may form in the evening hours as temps tumble snowfall of 1 to perhaps 2 inches for saturday night and evening

another batch of snow showers and nw winds on the back side for sunday with additional light accumulations with nw winds highs will not hit 30. slick spots may start to form on roads. total snow for the weekend will have most folks around an inch or two with some spots up to 3 inches that have the lucky snow showers sunday.

rest of the week

1. monday looks quiet with nw flow and highs still having a hard time reaching 32. tuesday will be a transition day but quiet as high pressure will be overhead and highs in the upper 30’s.

2. wednesday will see a return of warmer weather on the backside of the high and highs closing in on 50.

3. thursday will see some rain and potential thunderstorms possibily severe if the timing is favorable as we will have a strong system and quite an airmass clash highs thursday will likely make a run at 60.

almost a 100*F spread in temps across the nation the colder air moves in to end out the month with highs much lower than most forecasts as this arctic wave spreads south more 20’s or 30’s are possibile again but it all depends on how far south the airmass can penetrate.

i think a secondary low will form along the front which can be snowmaker for us for next weekend so early spring actvities may be on hold for another week.

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9 Responses to “light snow in the works”

  1. Mitchg Says:

    surpised lmk did not issue and advisory for there northern counties where there forecasting 1-3 those snow amounts almost always warrnat and advisory, there monitoring the situation for an advsory for the lexington area.

    everything still looks on track, verga ahead of the system may limit the warm-up by a few degrees today. when the snow starts it will come down hard and should be able to overcome a warm ground just like thursday.

  2. Mitchg Says:

    evansville and owensboro have moderate snow at 2pm.

  3. mitchg Says:

    still no changes rain just started here in versailles with temps rapidly crashing louisville has snow with a snow covered ground. expect a few hours of rain followed by snow of around an inch mainly on grass with the snow east of lexington falling after sunset slick spots are possibile on roads. scatt snow showers tommorow will give everyone some slick spots on roads as temps will go below 32. weekend totals still look in the 1-2 inch range.

  4. Bull's Hell at Clay's Ferry Says:

    It’s getting grayer and brisk winds at Clay’s Ferry. Earlier was sunny and windy with nice cloud movement. No moisture- yet! Looking for 2″ overnight but with this wind it may end up two counties east. Getting ready for spring weather but would like a couple of calm winter events and then flip the switch to ‘Spring” about March 15th

  5. mitchg Says:

    rain/snow line moving through lex area.

  6. mitchg Says:

    RED FLAG WARNING
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
    420 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

    …RED FLAG WARNING FOR PARTS OF THE CUMBERLAND VALLEY…

    .GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH SLOW MOISTURE RECOVERY IN ADVANCE OF A
    COLD FRONT HAS LED TO RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING TO AROUND 25
    PERCENT AND WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH…WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

    KYZ068-079-080-083>085-220000-
    /O.NEW.KJKL.FW.W.0001.090221T2120Z-090222T0000Z/
    ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-
    420 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

    …RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING…

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
    WARNING…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING.

    SOUTHWEST WINDS OF BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH
    WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 25 PERCENT LATE THIS
    AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET AS
    CLOUDS AND INCREASING MOISTURE MOVE INTO THE REGION.

    A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
    ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW…OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
    STRONG WINDS…LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY…AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
    CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

  7. MikeM Says:

    Any chance for wrap around snow from this system?

  8. mitchg Says:

    1 inch now after my 7:15 measurement. blowing snow as well. snow will accumulate more rapidly now since the sun has set.

    time to issue an advisory for slicking roads and blowing snow for the lexington area as travel is becoming impacted.

  9. mitchg Says:

    scatt snow shwrs tommorow mike.

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