11:00 update

by

spelling will be better this time as i have few more minutes to post now. things are going as expected so far today which means the potential for tropical storm force winds outside of winds and a line of thunderstorms some strong and severe with a wind threat to roll through this afternoon .

spc  a watch will be issued soon

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0099
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1002 AM CST WED FEB 11 2009
  
   AREAS AFFECTED…TN VALLEY REGION
  
   CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE
  
   VALID 111602Z – 111730Z
  
   THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INCREASE THIS
   AFTERNOON…AHEAD OF QUICKLY-MOVING CONVECTIVE LINE.  WW MAY
   EVENTUALLY BE REQUIRED.
  
   LATEST RADAR SHOWS A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED BUT LOW-TOPPED LINE OF
   CONVECTION MOVING QUICKLY EWD ACROSS WRN KY/WRN TN/NERN MS.  MORNING
   SOUNDINGS REVEAL LITTLE IF ANY INSTABILITY…WITH THE CONVECTIVE
   LINE SUSTAINED PRIMARILY BY STRONG FORCING ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT.
  
   AS THE UPPER SYSTEM NOW CROSSING THE OZARKS TAKES ON AN
   INCREASINGLY-NEGATIVE TILT…THE SURFACE FRONT — AND ASSOCIATED
   CONVECTIVE LINE — SHOULD ACCELERATE EWD.  WITH VERY STRONG
   DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD ACROSS THIS REGION…EVEN SLIGHT
   INTENSIFICATION OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE WILL INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD
   OF TRANSPORTING STRONGER WINDS TO THE SURFACE.
  
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0099.html

radar

that line in western ky will continue to delevop with the aid of some instabilty and produce damaging wind gusts along it.

timeframe on storms

lexington 2-3 pm

jackson 3-4 pm

pikeville/ashland 4-5:30 pm

again expect a watch soon. i won’t be able to update till 3 so i’m needing your help today with watches and warnings.

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7 Responses to “11:00 update”

  1. mitchg Says:

    TORNADO WATCH WEST OF 1-75
    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0016.html

  2. mitchg Says:

    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=22028&source=0

    TORNADO WARNING FOR CASEY COUNTY UNTILL 3:30 PM

  3. mitchg Says:

    line of severe thunderstorms apporaching 1-75. my classes are over for today i’m stuck on campus here till the storm passes.

  4. mitchg Says:

    new thunderstorm warn for fayeete and jessamine TORNADO WARNING FOR LINCON COUNTY

  5. mitchg Says:

    i will be posting updates at

    http://www.kentuckyweathercenter.com to reach a wider audience

  6. mitchg Says:

    severe thunderstorm warns for pikeville, ashland and hazard very gusty winds.

  7. mitchg Says:

    THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 18 CONTINUES.

    SEVERE POTENTIAL CONTINUES AHEAD OF ONGOING CONVECTIVE LINE.

    RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW A STRONGLY-FORCED LINE OF SHOWERS — AND A
    FEW EMBEDDED LIGHTNING STRIKES — MOVING EWD AT 50 KT ACROSS S
    CENTRAL OH/ERN KY/ERN TN…AND INTO WRN WV AND WRN VA. WHILE
    LIGHTNING REMAINS ISOLATED/SPORADIC AT BEST…LINE REMAINS ORGANIZED
    ALONG THE FRONT — INCLUDING EMBEDDED BOWS AND LEWPS.

    WIDESPREAD REPORTS OF STRONG WINDS/WIND DAMAGE CONTINUE — BOTH IN
    CONJUNCTION WITH AND AWAY FROM THE CONVECTIVE LINE. GIVEN
    EXCEPTIONALLY-STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD…THE DAMAGING WINDS WILL
    LIKELY CONTINUE AS THIS SYSTEM SPREADS EWD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
    HOURS.

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