update: windy wednesday

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1. showers and isolated thunderstorms will be found throughout the day as a second batch will form ahead of the warm front for tonight hghs will be in the low 60’s. southerly winds perhaps in excess of 25 mph will pick up tonight and get even stronger tommorow. we have a high wind watch for winds up to 55 mph which can do some more signficant damage to things already devestated by the ice storm.

…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY…STRENGTHENING TO 25 TO 40 MPH
WITH GUSTS OVER 55 MPH BY MID WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 55 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING…BEFORE WINDS SHIFT TO THE
WEST AND DECREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

WINDS OF THIS STRENGTH COULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD DAMAGE ACROSS
THE REGION AND COULD CAUSE ALREADY LOOSENED BRANCHES AND TREES
FROM THE RECENT ICE STORM TO FALL…POTENTIALLY RESULTING IN
POWER OUTAGES WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR
INTERESTS WILL BE AFFECTED BY HIGH WINDS…AND TRAVELERS WILL
FIND NAVIGATING THROUGH THE HIGH WINDS DIFFICULT…ESPECIALLY
THOSE TRAVELING IN HIGHER PROFILE VEHICLES.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH…

this criteria is higher than the usual wind advisory. so take precuations to prepare for the wind tommorow.

2. showers hsould lift out by dawn. going back to yesturday’s checklist we need instabilty, decent dewpoints and good timing of frontal passage all three of these are condusive foir severe weather in the form of a squall line with damaging winds wednesday afternoon

nam radar

60’s for highs again

the spc has really ramped up there severe chances

 

serious threat from wind tommorow both in and outside of thunderstorms watch out for any falling trees or branches and any power outages as a result, make sure to have two hands on the wheel when driving and make sure any loose objects are tied down in the yard.

 

part 2 long range

– thursday and firday will be seasonabile with fair skies and highs in the mid to upper 40’s.

– late friday into saturday rain showers will move in changing to snow flakes at the end as one low heads into the ohio valley and another low slides off the se coast temps will stay above freezing. this doesn’t look that impressive with precip totals as well.

usmap9

– more intresting is the storm next tuesday and wednesday the models are coming around to my thinking

my updated thinking

usmap7

 

the models are still wobbleing on it the euro has one low reflection further north into the tenn valley and the main low along the gulf coast while the gfs has one low way to our south, don’t bet on a atlanta snowstorm the jma has the right idea with a low moving across the south with an inverted trough to the north resulting in a band of snow on the north side of the low.

 

update: short range

– THE HIGH WIND WATCH WILL BE UPGRADED TO A HIGH WIND WARNING

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2 Responses to “update: windy wednesday”

  1. mitchg Says:

    Oklahoma City has been hit by a tornado
    http://www.kfor.com/

  2. mitchg Says:

    i’m going into severe alert mode which would usually more frequent updates about every 2 hrs but with classes@10,12 and 1 and a test at 2 updates will more limited than i would like given the situation. i will try to post all warnings but will likely not be able to thus i need you fine folks to help out a bit by posting warnings for counties in your area. I’ll try to get a quick early am update up as well.

    i’m contuning to like my storm idea for tue-wed of next week if this comes true i will be about a week ahead of most forecasters on this.

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