If we make to June without an addtional inch of snow this year at lexington it will be the least snowiest winter/spring/fall season on record. The new euro weeklies show this to be very likely through the last week of feburary. I look at it and it says the same thing as last week.
- 4 or 5 mild days a few in the 60′s then a few days of normal before the next warm-up. rain and severe storms should be common with tracks well to our north
- doesn’t look like much stratospheric warming now either which helped some in Jan.
- Overall teleconnection pattern doesn’t show any change to winter
- MJO looks very unfavorable the next 2 weeks.
Overall this makes the chances of having a seasonal total of snow by the end of June under 2.1 inches at bluegrass airport more likely,we’re at 1.1 inches now.
