1. haven’t had a shout out to my sports teams in a while since the phills won the world series!
the uk football cats who managed to make it to a bowl game by default (6-6) mark, still 3 straight bowl years! they head to memphis to take on east carolina friday, a tough c-usa team. go cats!
http://www.libertybowl.org/
weather for memphis
temps near 35 snow flurries nw wind near 10 mph.
the b-ball cats our on a nice winning streak now 10-3, big one this sunday against the hated cards from louisville.
good
bad or ugly your pick
my eagles somehow made the playoffs after a tie to your bungals of all things, thanks to help from oakland, houston and a great game against those hated cowboys!!!!
2. let’s get down to it! monday and tuesday look mostly sunny with mid to upper 40’s for highs and light winds, a nice change.
3. a week clipper looks a little stronger for tuesday night and new years eve highs wednesday will reach freezing with a strong nw wind. scattered snow showers and flurries will get us back in the snow mood.
4. a little southerly flow ahead of the next arctic front will allow highs to rebound into the upper 30’s thu however low pressure forms in texas and coupled with this boundry brings in some snow thursday night with lows in the upper 20’s. notice no mix all of the models for the most part are in agreement for all snow regionwide with perhaps the far se seeing a brief mix.
thu night gfs thickness ( 540 is rn/sw line in this case)
my thu night map
5. this system tracks up the east coast for friday into saturday for us i don’t see this now as more than a 1-3 inch type snow as this system will be a quick mover and not have a ton of mositure, the 12z gfs had way to much qpf and has backed off to not enough qpf now. the good news is we look cold enough for all snow but i’m not buying that gfs run or forecasts calling for more than .5 qpf. of course this can all change. 1-3 is better than nothing, don’t have panic attack if this storm doesn’t satisfy your every dream for snow, that storm is coming up in a minute. highs should be near 30 both days with any snow ending by sunrise saturday.
now to that long range storm that we can have panic attacks and wild emotion swings on every run since i think this storm CAN BE A WINTER DEFINING STORM. the timing is from jan 5-8, the gfs and euro runs will flip and flop back and forth on the track and timing of the storm. the gfs will be to east and the euro to west.
the big picture for now is most important, big storm with enough snow possbile to satisfy our dreams or another big disapointment. the stuff needed for a big storm lots of juice, upper level energy and a strong temp gradient will be there.
let’s look at some of the possibilites
gfs 00z jan 6
it starts things out as an ice storm then rain changing to several inches of snow
gfs 18z from dec 27 on jan 8
this would be a 6-10 inch snow.
euro 12z from dec 27 on jan 7
the low is indiana another rain to snow BUT the euro is up to it’s usual tricks on this run digging to much of a west coast trough forcing the track to far west. again with qpf near or over 1 inch liquid this could be a very big storm.
an arcitc outbreak is set for after this storm into the middle of jan.